Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.001005 0.001147 0.001289 0.001442 0.001601 0.001761 0.001935
2025-12-21 0.000812 0.001018 0.001231 0.001466 0.001717 0.001974 0.002257
2025-12-28 0.000618 0.000866 0.001132 0.001433 0.001761 0.002102 0.002482
2026-01-04 0.000484 0.000764 0.001075 0.001436 0.001835 0.002256 0.002730
2026-01-11 0.000362 0.000662 0.001009 0.001421 0.001884 0.002379 0.002941
2026-01-18 0.000265 0.000576 0.000952 0.001410 0.001932 0.002496 0.003142
2026-01-25 0.000161 0.000464 0.000855 0.001346 0.001916 0.002539 0.003258
2026-02-01 0.000094 0.000389 0.000796 0.001321 0.001939 0.002622 0.003414
2026-02-08 0.000053 0.000339 0.000763 0.001323 0.001991 0.002734 0.003601
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000301 0.000742 0.001337 0.002054 0.002857 0.003797
2026-02-22 0.000009 0.000273 0.000731 0.001362 0.002129 0.002991 0.004004
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000231 0.000697 0.001354 0.002163 0.003078 0.004157
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000166 0.000632 0.001320 0.002183 0.003169 0.004339
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000134 0.000614 0.001348 0.002279 0.003348 0.004623
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000085 0.000556 0.001318 0.002304 0.003446 0.004815
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000055 0.000524 0.001322 0.002368 0.003589 0.005058
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000027 0.000483 0.001308 0.002409 0.003704 0.005268
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000008 0.000446 0.001298 0.002453 0.003820 0.005478
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000378 0.001237 0.002429 0.003855 0.005593
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000337 0.001213 0.002450 0.003941 0.005766
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000315 0.001215 0.002505 0.004066 0.005981
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000300 0.001229 0.002572 0.004205 0.006213
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001253 0.002653 0.004360 0.006462